Tato stránka je dostupná i v češtině. Přepnout do češtiny →
Confido app
Facing strategic or risky decision? Use Confido and check out not only what your group thinks, but also how sure it is. Fast. Secure. Simplified for all. And the best part? It is free.
Use cases
Use Confido as a forecasting app, run an internal forecasting tournament and find out who the best forecasters in your organization are.
The app is free to use. For larger tournaments, we offer consulting support as a paid service, so everything runs smoothly and you end up with high-quality data.
Upload your slides and use Confido to turn talks, workshops, and retreats into live sessions where groups forecast and estimate together and see live analytics of their answers.
Use the built-in calibration exercise and see how sharp you and your group really are.
Question types
Will China invade Taiwan by 2030?
Will I get a promotion this year?
Create a question about the future nobody currently knows the answer to but that will have a clear resolution in the future.
Is an elephant heavier than a whale?
Practice calibration and ask a question everyone can guess and immediately find out the correct answer and if they are over or underconfident.
Will the venue A suit our cause better than the venue B?
You can even ask questions that do not have a clear correct answer, now or in the future. You won't know who was 'right' but you will get a better idea of what people in your group think.
How many people suffered from paint poisoning in 1990?
Do you have other quantified question in mind? Then feel free to use a “no template” and design your question on your own.
Question features
Features for providing estimates
Room management
Do you want to share different questions with different groups of people in your institution, or with external advisors? Create different rooms for different audiences. Some of your rooms can be public, some can be private according to your preference.
Do you want to compare how well you are calibrated in your personal versus professional questions? Or in different areas? Just place different questions in different rooms to measure your calibration or group calibration for different topics separately.
Whether you have a team of 2 or 2000, your organizational workspace can serve well for internal forecasting as well as for better coordination and meeting acceleration.
Your external collaborators can be forecasters or viewers only. You decide about their role.
You can for example share the link via a chat, message board, mailing list or even publicly on your website to invite people.
You can easily use Confido during a presentation or workshop (for example calibration training).
Beautiful analytics
Brier scoring
Confido – forecasting, estimation and calibration tool step by step
First, request a workspace for free.
You will get a confirmation e-mail within 24 hours after your request. If not, check your spam folder (and reach out to us if that did not help).
Then visit your chosen subdomain (workspace-name).confido.tools in your browser and log in using the email you have provided in your workspace request.
Once you are in your new workspace, it is completely empty. You have to create your first room. (Every question has to be placed in a room.)
Once you have your room, you can start with creating your own questions. Once you resolve them, your latest predictions will show you how well calibrated you are.
Once your question is created you can provide your own estimate and also compare your estimate with others (if you invite them to your workspace).
Learn from your own judgement and also check if you are over- or under-confident compared to others you shared questions with.
Confido app FAQ
We will create your workspace and send you an email with instructions within 24 hours after your request. If you have not received it by then, check your spam folder.
Visit your workspace subdomain (workspace-name).confido.tools and you will be able to log in using the email you have provided when requesting the workspace.
Confido is free to use. If you need a special feature or you want to support the development of something specific, please contact us. We will provide you with a cost estimate.
If you have never heard of forecasting, we strongly recommend you read the book Superforecasting by Philip Tetlock or watch this short video.
Definitely. Confido is designed to be very user-friendly and was already used for a forecasting tournament and a forecasting course at a high school and a Summer Academy. We have also developed demo versions of Confido edu – different estimation exercises for high schoolers.
Definitely. We do not collect and sell any data. Confido is open source and allows you to self-host your workspace on your own infrastructure to have full control over your data. In the past Confido hosted a tournament at Dutch government.