About the

Confido Institute

The Confido Institute is a non-profit research institute focusing on the topic of uncertainty communication.

The institute was established as a result of positive response to experiments we did in the area of forecasting in 2022. We were able to demonstrate that the principles of judgmental forecasting can be applied to a wide range of other situations and that uncertainty communication itself can significantly improve human coordination and cooperation.

The aim of the institute is to conduct research and experimental activities in the field of uncertainty communication and to openly share our theoretical and practical results with both the professional and non-professional public in order to have the most possible positive impact.

In the past, human culture and cooperation have been advanced by lots of great new cultural norms that have brought our society to a higher level. For example scientific method become a commonplace giving us a great tool to systematically discover the world around us and improve lots of areas of human life. Or we have reached a new cultural norm of extending the freedom to share ideas and information openly.

Another positive cultural step might be improving the coordination and risk prevention of our society by open communication of uncertainty. And Confido Institute is here to support this mission.
(Blanka Havlíčková, Director of the Confido Institute)

The Confido Institute's


April 2022
First experiments using the principles of judgmental forecasting

We created the first demo of Confido, with which we experiment on using the principles of judgmental forecasting to better coordinate groups and get feedback from organizations addressing global existential risks. We organize our first interactive workshop.

July 2022
Confido Institute is established

We raise funding and establish the Confido Institute with the goal of bringing the demo to life for any organization interested in it.

August 2022
Curriculum for high school students and the demo version Confido edu

We create practical and theoretical exercises for working with uncertainty and forecasting, which we test in an educational workshop for high school students. In doing so, we create a beta version of Confido Edu.

October 2022
Confido 0.1 is published

The app Confido 0.1 is being developed very quickly based on a request from the Dutch Ministry of Water and Infrastructure for the purpose of organizing an internal forecasting tournament.

May 2023
Confido 1.0 is published

The app Confido 1.0 is published and offered freely. It builds on Confido 0.1 with a major UX redesign and feedback from early Confido 0.1 users.

Let's collaborate.

Get to meet the Confido team and discuss how our tools or interactive workshops can benefit your organization. We will be also happy to talk about research collaboration or the educational aspects of spreading awareness of uncertainty.

Book a call