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Make better decisions in an uncertain world

The next decade may bring as much change as the last century, and more uncertainty than ever. We help people meet it head-on. Our workshops teach individuals and teams to reason and forecast under uncertainty, our talks explore where AI and work are heading and how global events may unfold, and Confido, our free app, lets anyone share what they expect and how sure they are.

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Our tools are trusted by

  • Ministry of Infrastructure and Water Management of the Netherlands
  • Open Nuclear Network
  • Czech Association for Effective Altruism
  • Gimbal Cube
  • Demdis
  • Aignos

What we offer

Talks, workshops and the Confido app

Talks

Talks on forecasting the future of work, global events and your own life, built on estimates from superforecasters and peer-reviewed research.

Request a talk Learn more

Why Confido app

Easy to use. Securely stored. Free.

Uncertainty is everywhere. Decisions should account for it. Every important decision is made without knowing what will happen next. We help organizations recognize that uncertainty, put it into numbers, and make it a regular part of how they decide.
1

Seamless user experience

We believe that the power of probability should be accessible to all, not just mathematicians. That's why we concentrate our efforts on making the user experience of our tools as intuitive as possible, giving the user helpful hints while using it.

2

Top-level security

Ensuring the security and protection of your data is our top priority. Our technology allows you to run the app locally, giving you full control over your data and security. This makes implementation in large and strategic institutions possible.

3

Flexible development team

We are a small but agile team of designers and developers. We prioritize to implement the features that our clients need the most, which means that if you have a good case for why you need something to be added to the app, we can code an add-on just for you.

4

Free to use for everyone

We are a non-profit, and the Confido app is free for everyone. You only pay if you ask us for something extra, such as custom features or hands-on technical support during a larger forecasting tournament.

Use cases

What can you use the Confido app for?

Three ways teams and organizations put Confido to work.

Forecasting tournaments

Use Confido as a forecasting app, run an internal forecasting tournament and find out who the best forecasters in your organization are.

The app is free to use. For larger tournaments, we offer consulting support as a paid service, so everything runs smoothly and you end up with high-quality data.

Interactive talks and meetings

Upload your slides and use Confido to turn talks, workshops, and retreats into live sessions where groups forecast and estimate together and see live analytics of their answers.

Sam Bogerd Government of the Netherlands
“We used Confido for our internal forecasting tournament, the platform allowed us to effortlessly organize a competition with participants from different government departments, and they provided excellent technical support when necessary.”
Karim Kamel Open Nuclear Network
“Working with Confido has been tremendously valuable. First, the forecasting workspace Confido offers a user-friendly interface, not only for the forecasters, but also for the questions' managers. Second, Blanka and Filip are exceptionally helpful and knowledgeable. They are always open to discussing improvements to the platform and have consistently responded to our requests for new features with a can-do attitude and in a timely manner.”
Conor Spence High Impact Coach
“The Confido event was a great way to have fun while learning to overcome the many biases influencing our decision-making. Our group had a great time together!”
Tyler Johnston The Humane League
“Confido's elegant and clear user interface makes it easy to design and share questions about the future of farmed animal welfare with my team, helping us put numbers to our beliefs and make more informed strategic decisions.”
years of existence
4
workshops and talks organized
33
workspaces provided
150

Let's collaborate.

Get to meet the Confido team and discuss how our tools or interactive workshops can benefit your organization. We will be also happy to talk about research collaboration or the educational aspects of spreading awareness of uncertainty.
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